Bayesian Decision Analysis: Principles and Practice
|Book Title: Bayesian Decision Analysis: Principles and Practice|
Category: Science & Geography
Realese Date: 15 November 2010
Number of Pages: 348 pages
Autor: Jim Q. Smith
Description of the book "Bayesian Decision Analysis: Principles and Practice"Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.
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